Investment Insights

Microsoft’s Windows 8 Is Likely Not A Winning Ticket

Tuesday, January 10, 2012
Microsoft’s Windows 8 Is Likely Not A Winning Ticket

The Wall Street Journal described the excitement surrounding Microsoft’s (MSFT) next “growth” product: Windows 8! It is a highlight of this week’s Consumer Electronics Show. However, while looking at the photo of smiling CEO Ballmer with Intel (INTC) CEO Otellini, I was hit with déjà vu visions of the Pennsylvania Railroad, U.S. Steel (X),... »

Even Leading Companies Can Disappear Into the Sunset

Monday, January 9, 2012
Even Leading Companies Can Disappear Into the Sunset

Buy-and-hold investing carries a wonderful vision: Find a successful company Buy the company’s stock Sit back, relax, and watch the money grow The problem is that most successful companies peter out, either meandering around some plateau, producing no return — or, worse, falling back with mounting losses. Many events and conditions can cause firms... »

Cerner: Healthcare Plus Technology Equals Right Place, Right Time

Wednesday, January 4, 2012
Cerner: Healthcare Plus Technology Equals Right Place, Right Time

Cerner (CERN) caught my interest last year because of its outstanding stock performance. It is a part of the healthcare field’s modernization developments that focus on coordinating and improving medical care through technology. The company’s growth shows in its results – long-term double-digit percentage gains in both sales and earnings. The outlook for 2012:... »

CME Group’s Misfit Website Questions Management’s Skill

Wednesday, December 14, 2011
CME Group’s Misfit Website Questions Management’s Skill

I was doing some Dow Jones index analysis and happened across flaws on a CME Group (CME) website that makes me question management’s skill. The misfit finding is one of those odd facts, like a bad puzzle piece, that doesn’t match the picture of a desirable investment. This article is posted on SeekingAlpha.com »

Time To Be Contrarian About U.S. Stock Holdings

Friday, November 18, 2011
Time To Be Contrarian About U.S. Stock Holdings

I recently wrote about U.S. stocks recovering their valuations after this year’s sell-off. However, that doesn’t mean the market’s rise is over. There is another source of gains that is potentially very large. However, to view it, we need to take a contrarian stance. This article is posted on SeekingAlpha.com »

Waving Goodbye To 2 Of My 3 Wall Street Stocks

Thursday, November 17, 2011
Waving Goodbye To 2 Of My 3 Wall Street Stocks

Last month I described a 3-stock Wall Street portfolio that I believed offered a good – and diversified – approach to investing in Wall Street’s activities. However, I’ve had a change of heart and have cut two of the positions. The three holdings were Goldman Sachs (GS), JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and KKR (KKR). Now,... »

7 Attractively Valued Dow Stocks

Wednesday, November 16, 2011
7 Attractively Valued Dow Stocks

The 3rd quarter earnings report season is about over, allowing analysts and investors to incorporate both the company results and outlooks into their thinking. On Monday we examined the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) overall. Today we will see how individual firms have fared. This article is posted on SeekingAlpha.com »

Stock Market’s Health: Recovered, But Not Yet Normal

Monday, November 14, 2011
Stock Market’s Health: Recovered, But Not Yet Normal

The stock market has fully recovered its lost ground from this year’s sell-off. Analysts and investors have now incorporated lower economic growth forecasts, information from company earnings reports/outlooks, and mega-trend fears. Evaluating the earnings adjustments and the stock market’s valuation show a stock market that has recovered from its oversold position. Moreover, future growth... »

Caterpillar – Up 30% With More To Go

Wednesday, November 2, 2011
Caterpillar – Up 30% With More To Go

For two years following the March 2009 bottom, Caterpillar (CAT) led the stock market ever higher. It even gave Apple (AAPL) a run for its money. Then it ran into two downdrafts this year. The first, April-June, was a valuation adjustment in line with the stock market. The second, July-September, was a recession fear... »

Low Consumer Confidence: A Nice Contrarian Indicator

Monday, October 31, 2011
Low Consumer Confidence: A Nice Contrarian Indicator

Throughout the summer, we’ve heard about declining consumer confidence (AKA, sentiment). The conclusion typically drawn is that low consumer confidence now likely means low consumer spending ahead. Until recently, warnings have been sounded about weak winter holiday sales. Now, however, consumer confidence readings are creeping back, and retail sales are actually looking good. How... »

Goodbye Boeing, Hello ITT

Monday, October 31, 2011
Goodbye Boeing, Hello ITT

Boeing (BA) just reported good earnings, the 787 delays appear to be over and the company, along with Airbus (EAD.EU), picked up many orders from commercial airlines, now flush with baggage fee cash. My original reasons for owning Boeing have been fulfilled, so it’s time to move on to something more interesting. This article... »

Wall Street Signals A Bull Market In U.S. Stocks

Friday, October 28, 2011
Wall Street Signals A Bull Market In U.S. Stocks

It’s been slow coming. After a rare quadruple bottom, the U.S. stock market has risen this month (October, no less!) amidst continuing angst and warnings. The whisper economic reports (“psst… they’re actually looking better”) remained out of the spotlight as Europe, politics and other negative “stuff” was tossed about as proof that we were... »

Netflix’s Classic Mistake Is Irreversible And Life-Threatening

Wednesday, October 26, 2011
Netflix’s Classic Mistake Is Irreversible And Life-Threatening

Netflix (NFLX) management tried to do the right thing, but they implemented their strategy incorrectly. Unfortunately, their classic mistake cannot be rectified. Worse, because Netflix is non-diversified, the costly error could put it on a course similar to Blockbuster (BLOAQ). This article is posted on SeekingAlpha.com »

Earnings Are Strike Two For Apple

Friday, October 21, 2011
Earnings Are Strike Two For Apple

Strike one was Apple’s (AAPL) loss of Steve Jobs. Strike two is Apple’s financial report, while dazzling, coming in below expectations. Strike three? The pitch is on the way – but more about that later. First, let’s discuss why those first two items are clearly strikes. This article is posted on SeekingAlpha.com »

3 Wall Street Stocks That Should Be Occupying Your Portfolio

Monday, October 17, 2011
3 Wall Street Stocks That Should Be Occupying Your Portfolio

With their stocks well off their highs and significantly lagging the markets, Wall Street companies have gotten a bad rap. Add in congressional-regulatory disagreements plus “Occupy Wall Street” protests and many question the wisdom of owning any of these firms. From a contrarian standpoint, this is a good environment to consider buying the good... »

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