Archive for October, 2012

Want Timely, Accurate Election Predictions? Look To The Betting Markets, Not Polls Or Pundits

Wednesday, October 24th, 2012
Want Timely, Accurate Election Predictions? Look To The Betting Markets, Not Polls Or Pundits

Are you putting election results into your investment thinking? Betting markets provide excellent insights that are better than polls and pundits. Here’s my experience… Many years ago, I read (I believe in The Wall Street Journal) about betting’s accuracy in making election predictions. It turns out that, once again, watching what people are doing... »

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Wall Street Hits PC Escape Key – Or Is It A Ploy?

Sunday, October 21st, 2012
Wall Street Hits PC Escape Key – Or Is It A Ploy?

“The PC Is Dead!” screams Barron’s, with an RIP headstone on the cover, adding: “As the PC era wanes, Dell and HP will fade from view.” “Already, tech investors, long accustomed to a lift from Windows, are primed for disappointment.” Talk about a premature announcement of death. In only a few days, we will... »

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Why The Approaching Stock Market’s New High Matters A Lot

Wednesday, October 17th, 2012
Why The Approaching Stock Market’s New High Matters A Lot

Recent articles note that the stock market is nearing its all-time high. So how should we view this news? Is a new all-time high important information, or is it just a media tidbit, similar to the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) crossing some seemingly important value like 10,000? Here’s why the new high matters…... »

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3rd Quarter Earnings Storm Warnings: Don’t Believe Them

Tuesday, October 16th, 2012
3rd Quarter Earnings Storm Warnings: Don’t Believe Them

Alcoa may have beat analysts’ estimates, but forecasters say it’s not a sign of good things to come. Instead, they have hoisted warning flags throughout Wall Street. Earnings reports will disappoint, they say, and managements will give forecasts of weak growth ahead. The implication is that stocks, likewise, will weaken due to poorer than... »

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This Market’s Gift: 3 Unloved Tech Stocks With Upside Potential

Thursday, October 11th, 2012
This Market’s Gift: 3 Unloved Tech Stocks With Upside Potential

Rare is a contrarian play on the eve of a major development. Yet that is what is happening in this stock market. Investors, seemingly tired of waiting, are abandoning boring Microsoft (MSFT), underperforming Intel (INTC) and disappointing Dell (DELL). All three stocks are well below their recent highs, and Intel and Dell are even... »

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